The last few days have been searing to watch, especially for those of us who’ve spent so much of our careers focused on Russia and the former Soviet Union. All of us tried, over the years, to avert just such a calamity. The Russian attack on Ukraine is illegal, immoral, and unjustifiable. It is heartbreaking to see the photos of destruction and desperate people seeking shelter and escape from the unfolding disaster. My thoughts are with the Ukrainian people, as well as those in Russia who oppose such military action.
The history that serves as the backdrop of this crisis is long and complex, beginning nearly thirty years ago. The lost opportunities, the failure of imagination, the arrogance, and the absence of creativity all contributed to a set of events that could roil the international community for decades to come.
I will be writing more about this story and others in the coming months, with the relaunching of my commentary as The Longer View in the next few weeks. In it, I will offer observations, stories, and strategic principles related to the critical importance of thinking for the “long haul.”
For now, encourage your policymakers to find ways to bring this NATO-Russia-Ukraine crisis to an end. The potential for a wider war can occur not just by intent, but also by miscalculation.
Sending best regards,